Factors Affecting the Composite Stock Price Index during Covid-19 Pandemic Crisis

Ariodillah Hidayat(1), Liliana Liliana(2), Sri Andaiyani(3),


(1) Universitas Sriwijaya
(2) Universitas Sriwijaya
(3) Universitas Sriwijaya

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze factors affecting the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) on the Jakarta Stock Exchange (IDX) during the Pademi Corona Crisis. This study uses the multiple linear regression analysis technique where the variable number of confirmed Covid-19 cases in the world, the number of confirmed Covid-19 cases in Indonesia, the Rupiah exchange rate per 1 US dollar,  and the world crude oil price are used as independent variables (X) and the IHSG as the dependent variable (Y), the data used in this study are weekly time series data from the period December 2019 to September 2020. Based on the results of variable regression between the IHSG, Exchange Rates, Oil Prices, cases of COVID-19 in Indonesia and COVID-19 World, It is concluded that collectively the independent variables have a significant effect on the IHSG. Partially, Oil Prices, COVID-19 cases in Indonesia and COVID-19 cases in the world have a significant effect on the IHSG. Meanwhile, the exchange rate has no significant effect on the IHSG.

Keywords

Composite Stock Price Index, Covid 19, Exchange Rates, World Oil Prices

Full Text:

PDF

References

Alam, M., & Uddin, G. S. (2009). Relationship between Interest Rate and Stock Price: Empirical Evidence from Developed and Developing Countries, 43-51.

Al-Awadhi, A. M., Al-Saifi, K., Al-Awadhi, A., & Alhamadi, S. (2020). Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 100326.

Anoraga, P., & Ninik, W. (1995). Capital Market: Its Existence and Benefits for Development. 2nd ed [Pasar Modal: Keberadaan dan Manfaatnya Bagi Pembangunan. Cetakan ke-2], Jakarta: Kineka Cipta.

Basit, A. (2019). The Effect of Gold Price and World Oil Price on IHSG period 2016-2019. 5(1), 42–51.

Djiwandono, S. (1995). Effect of Capital Market on Macroeconomic Policy in Indonesia [Pengaruh Pasar Modal Pada Kebijakan Makro ekonomi di Indonesia]. Jurnal Pasar Modal Indonesia, IV(10).

Gumilang, R, Hidayat, E. (2014). The Effect of Macroeconomic Variables, Gold Prices and World Oil Prices on the Composite Stock Price Index [Pengaruh Variabel Makro Ekonomi, Harga Emas Dan Harga Minyak Dunia Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan]. Jurnal Administrasi Bisnis (JAB), 14 (1)

Mahdi, M., & Kaluge, D. (2009). The Effect of Interest Rate (Birate) and Exchange Rate of the US Dollar on the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) Using the Error Correction Model Method. [Pengaruh Tingkat Suku Bunga (Birate) Dan ExchangeRate Dolar As Terhadap Indeks Harga Saham Gabungan (Ihsg) Dengan Menggunakan Metode Error Corection Model (Ecm)]. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 9(2)

Shahrestani, P., & Rafei, M. (2020). The impact of oil price shocks on Tehran Stock Exchange returns: Application of the Markov switching vector autoregressive models. Resources Policy, 65(43), 101579. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101579

Teguh, M., & Andaiyani, S. (2019). The US quantitative easing and Indonesian financial market. Does it matter?. Journal of Research in Business, Economics and Management (JRBEM) ISSN: 2395-2210

Tehulu, T. (2013). Determinants of Financial Sustainability of Microfinance Institutions in East Africa. Aemiro European Journal of Business and Management, 5 (17)

Tsagkanos, A., & Siriopoulos, C. (2013). A long-run relationship between stock price index and exchange rate: A structural nonparametric cointegrating regression approach. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 25, 106–118.

Wu, K.-J., Lu, C.-C., Jono, H., & Perez, I. (2012). Interrelationship between Philippine Stock Exchange Index and USD Exchange Rate. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 40, 768–782.

Yuliana, I. (2007). The Impact of Macro Variable to IHSG in IDX. El-Qudwah, 2(1), 1–15.

Zarei, A., Ariff, M., & Bhatti, M. I. (2019). The impact of exchange rates on stock market returns: new evidence from seven free-floating currencies. The European Journal of Finance, 25(14), 1277-1288.

Refbacks





Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.