CO and PM10 Prediction Model based on Air Quality Index Considering Meteorological Factors in DKI Jakarta using LSTM

Emanuella M C Wattimena(1), Annisa Annisa(2), Imas Sukaesih Sitanggang(3),


(1) Department of Computer Science, IPB University, Indonesia
(2) Department of Computer Science, IPB University, Indonesia
(3) Department of Computer Science, IPB University, Indonesia

Abstract

Purpose: This study aimed to make CO and PM10 prediction models in DKI Jakarta using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) with and without meteorological variables, consisting of wind speed, solar radiation, air humidity, and air temperature to see how far these variables affect the model.

Methods: The method chosen in this study is LSTM recurrent neural network as one of the best algorithms that perform better in predicting time series. The LSTM models in this study were used to compare the performance between modeling using meteorological factors and without meteorological factors.

Result: The results show that the use of meteorological predictors in the CO prediction model has no effect on the model used, but the use of meteorological predictors influences the PM10 prediction model. The prediction model with meteorological predictors produces a smaller RMSE and stronger correlation coefficient than modeling without using meteorological predictors.

Novelty: In this paper, a comparison between the prediction model of CO and PM10 has been conducted with two scenarios, modeling with meteorological factors and modeling without meteorological factors. After the comparative analysis was done, it was found that the meteorological variables do not affect the CO index in 5 air quality monitoring stations in DKI Jakarta. It can be said that the level of CO pollutants tends to be influenced by factors other than meteorological factors.

 

 

Keywords

Standard Air Quality Index, CO, meteorological factors, LSTM, PM10

Full Text:

PDF

References

IQAir, "2020 World Air Quality Report:Region & City PM2.5 Ranking," IQAir, no. August, 2020, pp. 1–41, 2020, [Online]. Available: https://www.iqair.com/world-most-polluted-cities/world-air-quality-report-2020-en.pdf%0Aonline air quality information platform.

Peraturan Pemerintah RI, “Peraturan Menteri Lingkungan Hidup dan Kehutanan Republik Indonesia No 14 Tahun 2020 tentang Indeks Standar Pencemaran Udara,” pp. 1–16, 2020.

Badan Pengendalian Dampak Lingkungan, “Keputusan Badan pengendalian dampak lingkungan (KABAPEDAL),” pp. 13–36, 1997, [Online]. Available: https://luk.staff.ugm.ac.id/atur/sda/KEP-107-KABAPEDAL-11-1997ISPU.pdf.

N. A. Dung, D. H. Son, and D. Q. Tri, "Effect of Meteorological Factors on PM 10 Concentration in Hanoi, Vietnam," J. Geosci. Environ. Prot., vol. 7, no. 11, p. 138, 2019.

A. P. Desvina, “Pemodelan Pencemaran Udara Menggunakan Metode Vector Autoregressive (VAR) di Provinsi Riau,” J. Sains, Teknol. dan Ind., vol. 13, no. 2, pp. 160–167, 2016.

G. Latini, R. C. Grifoni, and G. Passerini, "Influence of meteorological parameters on urban and suburban air pollution," WIT Trans. Ecol. Environ., vol. 53, 2002.

A. Oktaviani and H. Hustinawati, “Prediksi rata-rata zat berbahaya di dki jakarta berdasarkan indeks standar pencemar udara menggunakan metode long short-term memory,” J. Ilm. Inform. Komput., vol. 26, no. 1, pp. 41–55, 2021.

Y. Wang, S. Zhu, and C. Li, "Research on multistep time series prediction based on LSTM," in 3rd Int. Conf. Electron. Inf. Technol. Comput. Eng., 2019, pp. 1155–1159.

S. Hochreiter and J. Schmidhuber, "Long short-term memory," Neural Comput., vol. 9, no. 8, pp. 1735–1780, 1997.

A. Graves, "Generating sequences with recurrent neural networks," arXiv Prepr. arXiv1308.0850, 2013.

R. Bala and R. P. Singh, "Financial and non-stationary time series forecasting using lstm recurrent neural network for short and long horizon," in 10th Int. Conf. Comput. Commun. Netw. Technol. , 2019, pp. 1–7.

R. Rosita, D. A. A. Pertiwi, and O. G. Khoirunnisa, "Prediction of Hospital Intesive Patients Using Neural Network Algorithm," J. Soft Comput. Explor., vol. 3, no. 1, pp. 8–11, 2022.

H. He and F. Luo, "Study of LSTM air quality index prediction based on forecasting timeliness," in IOP Conf. Ser.: Earth Environ. Sci., 2020, vol. 446, no. 3, p. 32113.

R. Zhang et al., "Comparison of ARIMA and LSTM in Forecasting the Incidence of HFMD Combined and Uncombined with Exogenous Meteorological Variables in Ningbo, China," Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health, vol. 18, no. 11, p. 6174, 2021.

Y. K. Jain and S. K. Bhandare, "Min max normalization based data perturbation method for privacy protection," Int. J. Comput. Commun. Technol., vol. 2, no. 8, pp. 45–50, 2011.

M. T. Hagan, H. B. Demuth, M. Beale, and O. De Jesus, Neural network design. Oklahoma: PWS Publishing Co., 2014.

Y. Abdillah and S. Suharjito, "Failure prediction of e-banking application system using Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)," Int. J. Electr. Comput. Eng., vol. 9, no. 1, p. 667, 2019.

N. R. Sari, W. F. Mahmudy, A. P. Wibawa, and E. Sonalitha, "Enabling external factors for inflation rate forecasting using fuzzy neural system," Int. J. Electr. Comput. Eng., vol. 7, no. 5, pp. 2746–2756, 2017.

W. Mendenhall, R. J. Beaver, and B. M. Beaver, Introduction to probability and statistics. Cengage, 2020.

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.




Scientific Journal of Informatics (SJI)
p-ISSN 2407-7658 | e-ISSN 2460-0040
Published By Department of Computer Science Universitas Negeri Semarang
Website: https://journal.unnes.ac.id/nju/index.php/sji
Email: [email protected]

Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.